Dear fellow stake holders,
Welcome to all of you at the 16th Annual General Meeting
of your Company. It is my proud privilege to address you on this special
occasion and share my thoughts with you.
The year gone by:
It will be a long time before the world forgets the year 2009-2010. From a
gloomy beginning triggered by the global financial crisis to a dramatic
turnaround that marked the end of the fiscal, it was a memorable journey indeed
for the Indian economy. Powered by a robustness that most of us knew existed,
but few had the fortune to witness earlier, the Indian economy zoomed back to
impressive levels of growth as it came surging out of the recession that had not
long ago threatened to derail it completely.
This is not to say that all is well with the Indian economy. Glaring disparities
between the haves and the have-nots continue to impact our future projections of
growth as the country still struggles to cope with the myriad problems of
illiteracy, unemployment and inadequate infrastructure.
However, these are problems that no longer seem insurmountable as we, as a
nation, strive hard to address them with a united powerful will that seeks to
bring a new ray of hope to the future of India. I salute that will and look
forward to a new and better tomorrow for us all.
Sugar Industry: 2008- 09:
The sugar industry, like most other sectors of the Indian economy, seemed to
reflect the overall financial scenario during the year 2008-09, with drought
conditions in several parts of the country adding to the industry woes. A
significant consumption-production gap hit the industry for the second year in a
row, sending sugar prices skyrocketing to their highest level since 1981. With
low output severely impacting sugar exports from Brazil, global sugar output
also came crashing down to unprecedented levels.
On the domestic front, production estimates have gone haywire, going down from
the original estimate of 21.4 million tons to an actual production level of 14.7
million tons. A poor showing indeed, compared to the 26.3 tons produced in the
previous year.
India responded to the situation by importing large quantities of raw and
refined sugar.
The fact that the trend in the sugar industry reflects the overall trend in the
Indian food industry is hardly a consolation and the situation begets immediate
government attention.
Dwarikesh Sugar Industries: 2008- 09:
The overall negative environment notwithstanding, it is with a strong sense of
pride and pleasure that I announce that your Company has actually shown a marked
improvement in its financial performance over last year.
Though 10 per cent obligation of levy sugar was sold @ Rs. 1,331, the rate at
which it was sold in the earlier years, average realization on sale of free-sale
sugar increased to Rs. 2,136 per quintal in the current year as compared to
average realization of Rs. 1,428 per quintal in the previous year. While sales
increased, there was significant depletion in the stock levels. High interest
burden though impacted our financials.
Let me, however, assure you that all efforts are on to rationalize interest
costs and, if possible, pre-pay the debt which was raised for our various
projects. .
Highlights 2008-09
It is all with immense pride that I announce that on the operational side, your
company had the distinction of recording excellent recovery (amongst the top 5)
in Uttar Pradesh at two of its plants.
What is more, the process losses recorded at DN and DP
unit were one of the lowest in the sugar industry in Uttar Pradesh during the
year. The efficiency in plant operations is adequately reflected in the recovery
recorded in these units.
Recovery clocked at DD plant, however, was a cause of
concern. Massive cane development efforts have been embarked upon in the Command
Area of DD unit that are aimed at bringing varietal change, planting of more and
more sugarcane and better farming practices. Although DD is a new unit, the
plant is technically balanced and is capable of operating at optimal capacity.
Efforts are focused on augmenting cane supplies and I am confident that things
will improved substantially, going ahead.
|
Particulars
|
2008-09
|
2007-08
|
% change
|
|
Crushing(Lac/Quintals)
|
126.48
|
193.91
|
(35)%
|
|
Recovery (%)
|
DN - 10.31
DP - 9.93
DD - 8.61
|
DN - 10.64
DP - 10.33
DD - 10.27
|
|
|
Production (Lac/Quintals)
|
12.35
|
20.22
|
(39)%
|
During the year, the Company sold 1,999,209 quintals of sugar as compared to
1,528,961 quintals of sugar sold in the previous year. In effect, there was
significant depletion in the stock levels. Stock of sugar as on 30th September,
2009 was 397,636 as compared to 1,161,967 quintals of sugar stock on the same
date last year.
Financial score card:
The numbers for the year 2008-09 were impressive. After two frustrating years,
the numbers for the year offered something to cheer about. Impressive numbers
were attributable to host of factors:
a.
Recording of highest operating efficiency
b.
Liquidation of low cost carried forward
stock
c.
Upsurge in prices of free sale sugar
The following table is illustrative of the impressive
numbers clocked.
|
Particulars
|
Year 2008-09 Rs. in crores
|
Year 2007-08 Rs. in crores
|
|
Net sales
|
462
|
273
|
|
EBIDTA
|
126
|
50
|
|
EBDTA
|
64
|
0
|
|
EBTA
|
31
|
(29)
|
EBIDTA as a % of net sales at 27% is among the highest in the peer group. It
bears testimony of the fact that your company has always strived to optimize and
maximize resources.
The expansion executed in the last two years was leveraged expansion. The
gearing, therefore, is on the higher side. However, the Company is making
all-out efforts to not only rationalize interest costs, but also to pre-pay
debt. With the upsurge in the price of sugar, your Company is confident that it
would de-leverage itself substantially in the coming years.
TRENDZ 2009-10
-
Initial estimate of sugar production in the country: 15
million tons.
-
Latest estimate of sugar production: 16.8 million tons.
Remarkable trend of this year is that although area
under cane cultivation has not increased, better
yield at farm level has improved sugarcane
production
-
Global production is also on the rise.
-
Recovery recoded by sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh – lower by
about 25 to 50 basis points as compared to last
year.
-
Sugar cane price paid to farmers – on an average INR 250 to
INR 260, as against SAP of INR 165 per quintal
announced by the UP State Government
-
Free sale sugar prices which had touched a high of INR 4,000
per quintal have now pummelled and presently
hovering around INR 3,200 per quintal.
-
Levy sugar obligation increased to from 10% to 20%
-
Total uncertainty over future price of sugar.
-
With farmers being paid high price, profitability of sugar
companies would depend on the sugar prices during
the second half of year.
-
Central Government has clamped down a series of measures
aimed at pegging the sugar prices at low levels.
There has been lot of hue and cry over the rise in
sugar prices.
It a strange paradox that while policy makers want highest
possible price to be paid for sugarcane, they want
consumers to pay the lowest price of sugar. In the
entire value chain of sugar, sugar mills are the weakest
link. All concerned are unmindful of the huge investment
made by sugar mills. The CAGR of the capital employed by
the sugar companies is among the lowest.
DSIL- Crushing season
2009-10:
Metrics of cane crushed, sugar produced and recovery
recorded till 14th March, 2010 is as given herein
under:
|
Units
|
Sugar capacity (TCD)
|
Cane crushed in MT
|
Sugar produced in quintals
|
Recovery in %
|
|
Dwarikesh Nagar (DN)
|
6,500
|
508,230
|
504,250
|
10.06
|
|
Dwarikesh Puram (DP)
|
7,500
|
536,320
|
507,760
|
9.57
|
|
Dwarikesh Dham (DD)
|
7,500
|
581,330
|
502,250
|
8.75
|
|
Total
|
21,500
|
|
|
|
Crushing
continues at all the units, although it is on the verge of closure at DD unit.
Going forward:
The situation, as it prevails today, is unlikely to
change drastically in the immediate future. The sugar
prices are expected to sustain for a couple of years.
Accelerated releases will result in low inventory
levels.
However, better cash flows would help enable your
Company recast its debt structure. Interest costs on
working capital are also expected to be lower, which
will lead to their rationalization.
Moving ahead, we may explore the opportunity to import
raw sugar and process the same with a view to maximizing
profits.
The State Government in Uttar Pradesh has announced a
new energy policy. The energy policy, if implemented in
the right spirit, would offer a plethora of
opportunities and open additional streams of revenue for
the sugar mills.
Depending on the details announced in the policy, your
Company may convert its bagasse plant into a multi fuel
fire (bagasse and coal-based) plant. This will help us
in two ways: First, dual usage of boilers – bagasse and
coal-based - will allow us to refine raw sugar even in
the off season between March and September, when local
cane is not available. Secondly, we will enjoy the dual
advantage of selling power in the open market while
continuing to de-risk our revenue generation capability.
Our initiatives to follow a green and sustainable growth
continue. Two of our plants are already CER (Certified
Emission Reduction) registered and in future, this
revenue stream of generation of power by using
bio-degradable fuel i.e. bagasse will continue to be
important.
Hence, moving forward, we at Dwarikesh see growth
prospects for the industry and we believe that with the
right decisions taken at the right time, we are poised
to further ride the growth curve in the times to come.
The challenges though are expected to haunt the
industry.
Summing up:
The new energy policy will encourage coal-based power
generation, the industry is looking forward to an
additional revenue stream. We remain committed to
ensuring a sustained growth of wealth of our
shareholders. Better rainfall in the coming year will
enhance the strong and positive sentiment of growth. I
am confident of returning next year with equally
impressive performance.
I would like to take this opportunity to thank you for
all your support. I seek your continued support in our
endeavor to achieve even better results in future. I
would also like to use this opportunity to thank all our
business associates, our employees who are the fulcrum
of our organization, our farming brethren who have
reposed immense confidence is us, our Banks and
Financial Institutions who have proved to be our
reliable and trustworthy friends, various Government
agencies and last but not the least the illustrious
members of our Board who have provided their valuable
guidance whenever required.
Gautam R Morarka
(Chairman and Managing Director)
Date: 16th March,2010